Earth Science
Subsidence more than doubles sea-level rise today along densely populated coasts
A new study reveals that subsidence is driving nearly twice as much sea-level rise as previously thought, threatening densely populated coastal cities.
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1 min read
A recent study has shed new light on a crucial yet poorly understood component of sea-level rise: vertical land motion. Despite its significant influence on relative sea-level rise, there remains low confidence in estimates of this phenomenon and its contribution to RSL change.
To address this knowledge gap, researchers have synthesized diverse data sets covering nearly 65% of the coastal population. These efforts aim to resolve small-scale subsidence issues, particularly in densely populated regions that were previously underrepresented in geodetic measurements. The result is a more comprehensive understanding of VLM and its impact on RSL change.
The study reveals that the average global RSL rise experienced by coastal populations is approximately twice the climate-driven absolute sea-level rise. This disparity highlights a strong correlation between subsidence rates and population density, with 71% of the global coastal population residing in subsiding regions. The findings underscore the importance of incorporating VLM data into estimates of present and future RSL rise.
As we reflect on this research, we are reminded that our understanding of the Earth's systems is always evolving. The intricate relationships between land motion, sea level, and human activity serve as a poignant reminder of the complex interplay between natural and societal factors shaping our planet. By embracing the uncertainties and nuances of scientific inquiry, we can work towards a more accurate and comprehensive picture of the world around us.
1 min read
In a world where the sea level has been rising at an alarming rate, scientists have long struggled to accurately measure its impact on our coastlines. Despite knowing that subsidence - the sinking of land into the ocean - plays a significant role in this process, there was still low confidence in estimates of how much land is moving and how it affects sea levels.
But now, researchers have made a breakthrough by combining diverse data sets to better understand subsidence patterns around the globe. This new work brings together almost 65% of the world's coastal population under one roof, providing a more complete picture of these complex issues. And what they've found is that the average rate of sea level rise experienced by people living near the coast is much higher than previously thought.
This discovery matters because it highlights just how critical it is to accurately measure and understand subsidence in densely populated areas. With 71% of the global coastal population living in regions where land is sinking, these findings provide crucial insights for risk assessment and adaptation efforts. By shedding light on this often-overlooked aspect of sea level rise, scientists can help us better prepare for the challenges ahead.
1 min read
In the cities of Jakarta and Bangkok, where towering skyscrapers meet the bustling streets, a quiet threat lurks beneath their feet. The land beneath these metropolises is sinking at an alarming rate - more than doubling the rise of the sea level. This phenomenon, known as subsidence, has long puzzled scientists who study how our planet's surface changes.
Researchers have now combined data from many places to better understand this problem. They found that in densely populated areas, like these cities and their surrounding deltas, the land is sinking faster than the sea level rises. In fact, the rate of subsidence is so strong that it accounts for nearly two-thirds of the total rise in sea levels over the past few decades. This discovery highlights just how critical it is to monitor and understand this process, as it will help cities prepare for a changing future.
The people behind the work
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Oelsmann J et al.
Author
Published in Nature communications
Source: Nature communications
Sources & Verification
Every statement in this story is drawn from the facts below. Each is linked to a primary or reputable source — follow any citation to check it for yourself.
- Despite its strong influence on relative sea-level (RSL) rise, there is still low confidence in estimates of vertical land motion (VLM) and its contribution to RSL change. Nature communications
- To address this problem, we synergize diverse VLM data, which now cover almost 65% of the coastal population, and are key to resolve small scale subsidence, including East, South, and Southeast Asian cities and populated deltaic regions, largely not covered by earlier geodetic measurements. Nature communications
- We find that the average modern (1995-2020) global RSL rise experienced by coastal populations (6 mm/year) is about twice the climate-driven absolute sea-level rise. Nature communications
- This reflects a strong tendency for higher rates of subsidence in densely populated areas, with 71% of the global coastal population living in subsiding regions. Nature communications
- Paired with community efforts to extend consistent observations, these data are essential to ensure reliable estimates of present and future RSL rise to support risk and adaptation assessment. Nature communications
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